How well do you know the polls in Spain?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 89 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give PP in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
132 in our projection, 44 short of a majority. See the page
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2In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3At Spain's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
PSOE: 28.3% in the final polls, 31.7% on the day. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at Spain's April 2019 election?
PSOE with 28.7%, ahead of PP on 16.7%. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.0 point out per party on average. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2015 election?
28.3%. See the page
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7Which party has lost most support since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Sumar: 12.3% then, 6.4% in our average now (−5.9 points). See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give PSOE in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
112 in our projection. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in Spain?
PP on 31.0% in our average, ahead of PSOE on 27.1%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2016 election?
PP with 32.6%, ahead of PSOE on 22.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.