How well do you know the polls in Germany?

1. 1How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?

   173 197 221 245

2. 2At which election since 2000 were Germany's final polls closest to the result?

   2013 2002 2005 2021

3. 3How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?

   112 130 148 166

4. 4In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens majority”?

   57% 72% 82% 97%

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2013 election?

   38% 42% 46% 50%

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2017 election?

   25% 33% 37% 41%

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2021 election?

   CDU/CSU Greens SPD FDP

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2025 election?

   21% 25% 29% 33%

9. 9At Germany's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   0.5 points 1.0 point 1.5 points 2.0 points

10. 10Which pollster's final polls have been closest to the result in Germany?

    INSA Wahlkreisprognose Forsa Ipsos Deutschland

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