How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 11 for 3 November 2026.
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1In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
57%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.0% in our average now (+19.6 points). See the page
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3Who leads the polls in Australia?
Labor on 26.6% in our average, ahead of One Nation on 26.0%. See the page
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4In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−8.9 points). See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?
Coalition with 35.7%, ahead of Labor on 32.6%. See the page
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7At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Coalition: 34.2% in the final polls, 31.8% on the day. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.