Poland Parliamentary electionby 11 Nov 2027in 374 days Government majority 7% Right-wing majority 91% Calendar Track record Research
Poland · Battleground

Poland's battleground: Sieradz (11) is the closest

Each of the 41 constituencies shares its seats by D'Hondt, so the race is for the last seat in each. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.

The closest constituencies

  1. Sieradz (11)Łódzkie · 12 seats Rozwój Plus 0.02 pts short of the last seat, held by Lewica Lewica
  2. Kielce (33)Świętokrzyskie · 16 seats KKP 0.19 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  3. Zielona Góra (8)Lubuskie · 12 seats PiS 0.22 pts short of the last seat, held by Konfederacja Konfederacja
  4. Koszalin (40)Zachodniopomorskie · 8 seats KKP 0.22 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  5. Szczecin (41)Zachodniopomorskie · 12 seats PiS 0.25 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  6. Warszawa (19)Mazowieckie · 20 seats KO 0.29 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  7. Opole (21)Opolskie · 12 seats Lewica 0.37 pts short of the last seat, held by Konfederacja Konfederacja
  8. Tarnów (15)Małopolskie · 9 seats Rozwój Plus 0.38 pts short of the last seat, held by Konfederacja Konfederacja
  9. Katowice (32)Śląskie · 9 seats KKP 0.47 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  10. Wałbrzych (2)Dolnośląskie · 8 seats KO 0.56 pts short of the last seat, held by KKP KKP
  11. Legnica (1)Dolnośląskie · 12 seats Konfederacja 0.57 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  12. Radom (17)Mazowieckie · 9 seats Rozwój Plus 0.61 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  13. Toruń (5)Kujawsko-pomorskie · 13 seats KO 0.64 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  14. Katowice (29)Śląskie · 9 seats Lewica 0.69 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  15. Katowice (31)Śląskie · 12 seats Konfederacja 0.75 pts short of the last seat, held by Lewica Lewica
  16. Łódź (9)Łódzkie · 10 seats KO 0.78 pts short of the last seat, held by KKP KKP
  17. Bydgoszcz (4)Kujawsko-pomorskie · 12 seats Konfederacja 0.85 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  18. Piotrków Trybunalski (10)Łódzkie · 9 seats Konfederacja 0.89 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  19. Olsztyn (35)Warmińsko-mazurskie · 10 seats Konfederacja 1.0 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  20. Płock (16)Mazowieckie · 10 seats KO 1.1 pts short of the last seat, held by Rozwój Plus Rozwój Plus
  21. Bielsko-Biała (27)Śląskie · 9 seats Konfederacja 1.1 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  22. Białystok (24)Podlaskie · 14 seats PiS 1.2 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  23. Kraków (13)Małopolskie · 14 seats PiS 1.3 pts short of the last seat, held by KKP KKP
  24. Siedlce (18)Mazowieckie · 12 seats KKP 1.3 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  25. Gdańsk (25)Pomorskie · 12 seats Konfederacja 1.4 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  26. Bielsko-Biała (30)Śląskie · 9 seats Konfederacja 1.5 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  27. Lublin (6)Lubelskie · 15 seats PiS 1.8 pts short of the last seat, held by Konfederacja Konfederacja
  28. Kalisz (36)Wielkopolskie · 12 seats PiS 1.9 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  29. Krosno (22)Podkarpackie · 11 seats KKP 2.3 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  30. Piła (38)Wielkopolskie · 9 seats Konfederacja 2.5 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  31. Rzeszów (23)Podkarpackie · 15 seats KO 2.8 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  32. Kraków (12)Małopolskie · 8 seats Konfederacja 3.1 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  33. Konin (37)Wielkopolskie · 9 seats KO 3.4 pts short of the last seat, held by Lewica Lewica
  34. Elbląg (34)Warmińsko-mazurskie · 8 seats PiS 3.5 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  35. Częstochowa (28)Śląskie · 7 seats KO 4.1 pts short of the last seat, held by KKP KKP
  36. Nowy Sącz (14)Małopolskie · 10 seats PiS 4.4 pts short of the last seat, held by Rozwój Plus Rozwój Plus
  37. Wrocław (3)Dolnośląskie · 14 seats KO 5.2 pts short of the last seat, held by PiS PiS
  38. Chełm (7)Lubelskie · 12 seats PiS 5.5 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  39. Słupsk (26)Pomorskie · 14 seats KO 5.7 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  40. Warszawa (20)Mazowieckie · 12 seats KO 6.3 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO
  41. Poznań (39)Wielkopolskie · 10 seats KO 7.7 pts short of the last seat, held by KO KO

The governing coalition against the lines that matter

231 seats govern; 276, three-fifths of the Sejm, override a presidential veto. On our projection:

The line marks 231. The coalition would be 20 short of a majority. PiS and the Confederations together would have a majority (240). Try any coalition →

Where the close ones are

Every seat → · The map → · What if the polls are wrong? →