Netherlands General election15 May 2030in 1,290 days PRO largest party 88% D66 + VVD + CDA reach 76 0% Calendar Track record Research
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Netherlands · Votes per seat

A seat costs DENK 1.4 times as many votes as FvD

Netherlands elects its 150 seats by national proportional representation. On our projection, 4 seats go to a different party than a strictly proportional split of the same votes would give.

Seats against the vote

  1. PRO17.8% of the vote 28 seats; 27 in proportion (+1) 0.95 × the average votes per seat
  2. PVV13.1% of the vote 20 seats; 20 in proportion (0) 0.99 × the average votes per seat
  3. JA2112.0% of the vote 18 seats; 18 in proportion (0) 1.00 × the average votes per seat
  4. D6610.4% of the vote 16 seats; 16 in proportion (0) 0.98 × the average votes per seat
  5. VVD9.6% of the vote 15 seats; 14 in proportion (+1) 0.96 × the average votes per seat
  6. CDA8.3% of the vote 13 seats; 12 in proportion (+1) 0.96 × the average votes per seat
  7. FvD8.2% of the vote 13 seats; 12 in proportion (+1) 0.95 × the average votes per seat
  8. PvdD3.6% of the vote 5 seats; 5 in proportion (0) 1.07 × the average votes per seat
  9. 50PLUS3.5% of the vote 5 seats; 5 in proportion (0) 1.06 × the average votes per seat
  10. SP2.9% of the vote 4 seats; 4 in proportion (0) 1.08 × the average votes per seat
  11. CU2.5% of the vote 3 seats; 4 in proportion (-1) 1.25 × the average votes per seat
  12. SGP2.4% of the vote 3 seats; 4 in proportion (-1) 1.19 × the average votes per seat
  13. Volt2.4% of the vote 3 seats; 4 in proportion (-1) 1.19 × the average votes per seat
  14. DENK1.7% of the vote 2 seats; 3 in proportion (-1) 1.31 × the average votes per seat
  15. BBB1.4% of the vote 2 seats; 2 in proportion (0) 1.04 × the average votes per seat

"In proportion": each party's share of the seats if they followed its share of our projected vote exactly. What if the polls are wrong? → · The same votes under other countries' rules →