New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
Quorum / YouTrend, 6 October 2026
Quorum / YouTrend has FdI ahead of PD by 6.6 points, 27% to 20.4%. Since its previous poll (22 September 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 5 October 2026 – 6 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 805 |
| Method | CATI-CAMI-CAWI (not re-verified) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
27 |
 PD |
20.4 |
 M5S |
13.5 |
| FN | 7.8 |
 FI |
7.4 |
 AVS |
5.8 |
 Lega |
4.8 |
| Others | 3.9 |
 Azione |
3.3 |
 IV |
2.5 |
 +Europa |
1.5 |
| PLD | 1.1 |
 NM |
1 |
Against the other polls
Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 13 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.