Italia Prossime elezionientro il 22 dic 2027tra 415 giorni Centre-left majority 61% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendario Precisione Ricerca
Closest
Nuova legge elettorale La nostra previsione ora usa la nuova legge elettorale, approvata l'8 ottobre 2026: niente collegi uninominali, e 70 deputati e 35 senatori in più alla coalizione che arriva prima con il 42% dei voti. Le mappe mostrano quale coalizione è avanti in ogni ex collegio; non sono più seggi. Cosa cambia →
Italy · Battleground

Italy's battleground: Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02) is the closest

About three-eighths of the seats are won in single-member seats by the coalition with the most votes; the rest are shared by list. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.

The closest single-member seats

  1. Rovereto (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U02)TAA Centre-right by 0.47 pts over Centre-left hold
  2. Pescara (Abruzzo - U02)ABR Centre-left by 0.51 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  3. Massa (Toscana - U02)TOS Centre-left by 0.61 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  4. Perugia (Umbria - U02)UMB Centre-left by 0.65 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  5. Acireale (Sicilia 2 - U03)SIC2 Centre-left by 1.2 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  6. La Spezia (Liguria - U04)LIG Centre-left by 1.2 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  7. Bolzano/Bozen (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U03)TAA SVP by 1.2 pts over Centre-left hold
  8. Chieti (Abruzzo - U01)ABR Centre-left by 1.4 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  9. Pesaro (Marche - U04)MAR Centre-left by 1.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  10. Eboli (Campania 2 - U07)CAM2 Centre-left by 1.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  11. Messina (Sicilia 2 - U06)SIC2 Centre-left by 2.1 pts over Others gain from Others
  12. Reggio di Calabria (Calabria - U05)CAL Centre-right by 2.2 pts over Centre-left hold
  13. Monza (Lombardia 1 - U01)LOM1 Centre-right by 2.2 pts over Centre-left hold
  14. Trento (Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol - U01)TAA Centre-left by 2.7 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  15. Terni (Umbria - U01)UMB Centre-right by 2.8 pts over Centre-left hold
  16. Trieste (Friuli-Venezia Giulia - U03)FVG Centre-left by 2.9 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  17. Lucca (Toscana - U03)TOS Centre-right by 3.1 pts over Centre-left hold
  18. Cologno Monzese (Lombardia 1 - U03)LOM1 Centre-left by 3.2 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  19. Ferrara (Emilia-Romagna - U09)EMR Centre-right by 3.3 pts over Centre-left hold
  20. Chieri (Piemonte 1 - U04)PIE1 Centre-right by 3.6 pts over Centre-left hold
  21. Roma – Municipio XIV (Lazio 1 - U07)LAZ1 Centre-left by 3.9 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  22. Parma (Emilia-Romagna - U02)EMR Centre-left by 4.3 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  23. Galatina (Puglia - U10)PUG Centre-left by 4.4 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  24. Ascoli Piceno (Marche - U01)MAR Centre-right by 4.8 pts over Centre-left hold
  25. Sesto San Giovanni (Lombardia 1 - U06)LOM1 Centre-left by 4.8 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  26. Moncalieri (Piemonte 1 - U05)PIE1 Centre-left by 4.8 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  27. Barcellona Pozzo di Gotto (Sicilia 2 - U05)SIC2 Centre-left by 4.9 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  28. Rimini (Emilia-Romagna - U11)EMR Centre-left by 5.1 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  29. Roma – Municipio V (Lazio 1 - U03)LAZ1 Centre-left by 5.3 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  30. Rozzano (Lombardia 1 - U04)LOM1 Centre-right by 5.5 pts over Centre-left hold
  31. Padova (Veneto 2 - U03)VEN2 Centre-right by 5.5 pts over Centre-left hold
  32. Arezzo (Toscana - U09)TOS Centre-left by 5.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  33. Brescia (Lombardia 3 - U04)LOM3 Centre-right by 5.7 pts over Centre-left hold
  34. Velletri (Lazio 1 - U08)LAZ1 Centre-right by 5.8 pts over Centre-left hold
  35. Bagheria (Sicilia 1 - U03)SIC1 Centre-left by 6.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  36. Vibo Valentia (Calabria - U04)CAL Centre-right by 6.7 pts over Centre-left hold
  37. Benevento (Campania 2 - U03)CAM2 Centre-left by 6.8 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  38. Altamura (Puglia - U06)PUG Centre-left by 7.2 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  39. Guidonia Montecelio (Lazio 1 - U09)LAZ1 Centre-right by 7.7 pts over Centre-left hold
  40. Lecce (Puglia - U09)PUG Centre-left by 8.3 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  41. Grosseto (Toscana - U01)TOS Centre-left by 8.3 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  42. Brindisi (Puglia - U07)PUG Centre-left by 8.3 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  43. Forlì (Emilia-Romagna - U10)EMR Centre-left by 8.5 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  44. Macerata (Marche - U02)MAR Centre-right by 8.5 pts over Centre-left hold
  45. Carbonia (Sardegna - U02)SAR Centre-left by 8.5 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  46. Mantova (Lombardia 4 - U04)LOM4 Centre-right by 8.6 pts over Centre-left hold
  47. Legnano (Lombardia 1 - U05)LOM1 Centre-right by 8.7 pts over Centre-left hold
  48. Venezia (Veneto 1 - U01)VEN1 Centre-right by 8.7 pts over Centre-left hold
  49. Savona (Liguria - U01)LIG Centre-right by 8.9 pts over Centre-left hold
  50. Roma – Municipio X (Lazio 1 - U05)LAZ1 Centre-left by 9.0 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  51. Prato (Toscana - U06)TOS Centre-left by 9.2 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  52. Rieti (Lazio 2 - U02)LAZ2 Centre-right by 9.3 pts over Centre-left hold
  53. L'Aquila (Abruzzo - U03)ABR Centre-right by 9.5 pts over Centre-left hold
  54. Campobasso (Molise - U01)MOL Centre-left by 9.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  55. Collegno (Piemonte 1 - U03)PIE1 Centre-left by 11.0 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  56. Nuoro (Sardegna - U03)SAR Centre-left by 11.1 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  57. Ancona (Marche - U03)MAR Centre-left by 11.1 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  58. Taranto (Puglia - U08)PUG Centre-left by 11.4 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  59. Ragusa (Sicilia 2 - U01)SIC2 Centre-left by 11.6 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right
  60. Pisa (Toscana - U04)TOS Centre-left by 11.7 pts over Centre-right gain from Centre-right

Gains among the closest

The single-member seats by coalition

76 of 147 single-member seats change hands since 2022 on our projection.

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