France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Yvelines

Bailly: Générations Bailly won the town hall in 2026; Édouard Philippe would lead here in 2027

Bailly (Yvelines, INSEE 78043) has 3,102 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,866 voted, 1,815 valid votes

  1. Générations BaillyMiscellaneous 53.2% · 966 · 21 seats
  2. BAILLY AVEC VOUS 2026Miscellaneous right 46.8% · 849 · 6 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bailly

Bailly is a commune in Yvelines with 3,102 registered voters, the 73rd largest of the département's 259 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.2% of them voted, more than the 54.4% across Yvelines, and Générations Bailly won 21 of the council's 27 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 43.6%, Republicans 14.1%, Reconquête 13.7%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 16 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Édouard Philippe ahead on 27.5%, with Bruno Retailleau on 21.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Bailly from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 27.5% · France 14.3%
  2. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 21.3% · France 7.6%
  3. Marine Le PenNational Rally 16.5% · France 34.2%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.0% · France 13.4%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 9.1% · France 3.8%
  6. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 7.0% · France 16.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 3.9% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.4% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.0% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 43.6% · Republicans 14.1% · Reconquête 13.7% · France Unbowed 9.1% · National Rally 7.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Yvelines

Every commune in Yvelines → · All of France →