France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Yonne

Paron: BIEN VIVRE A PARON 2026 won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Paron (Yonne, INSEE 89287) has 2,883 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,159 voted, 1,030 valid votes

  1. BIEN VIVRE A PARON 2026Miscellaneous right 100.0% · 1,030 · 27 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Paron

Paron is a commune in Yonne with 2,883 registered voters, the 9th largest of the département's 423 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 40.2% of them voted, fewer than the 57.5% across Yonne, and BIEN VIVRE A PARON 2026 won 27 of the council's 27 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 30%, France Unbowed 22.9%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.8%. National Rally did 7 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 42.9%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 16.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Paron from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 42.9% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.5% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.8% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.4% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.5% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.6% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 30.0% · France Unbowed 22.9% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.8% · Reconquête 6.9% · Republicans 3.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Yonne

Every commune in Yonne → · All of France →