Le Tholy: ENSEMBLE POUR UN VILLAGE DYNAMIQUE ET SOLIDAIRE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Tholy (Vosges, INSEE 88470) has 1,189 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,189registered voters
- 50%turnout, 2026 round one
- 39.2%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 593 voted, 525 valid votes
- ENSEMBLE POUR UN VILLAGE DYNAMIQUE ET SOLIDAIRENo label (small commune) 100.0% · 525 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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What changes hands
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About Le Tholy
Le Tholy is a commune in Vosges with 1,189 registered voters, the 55th largest of the département's 506 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 49.9% of them voted, fewer than the 59.9% across Vosges, and ENSEMBLE POUR UN VILLAGE DYNAMIQUE ET SOLIDAIRE won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 27.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.2%, France Unbowed 16.3%. France Unbowed did 6 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 39.2%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 16.1%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Tholy from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 39.2% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.1% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.4% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.5% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.0% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 4.1% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.8% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.2% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.5% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 27.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.2% · France Unbowed 16.3% · Reconquête 6.2% · Greens 4.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Vosges
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