France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Carpentras: Hervé De Lépinau's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Carpentras (Vaucluse, INSEE 84031) has 20,430 registered voters. Its council has 39 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 12,118 voted, 11,853 valid votes

  1. Pour Carpentras !Led by Hervé De Lépinau · Rassemblement National 50.8% · 6,019 · 30 seats
  2. Nous sommes tous CarpentrasLed by Francis Adolphe · Miscellaneous left 24.7% · 2,928 · 5 seats
  3. Ensemble, fiers de Carpentras avec Serge AndrieuLed by Serge Andrieu · Miscellaneous left 24.5% · 2,906 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 11,046 voted, 10,844 valid votes

  1. Pour Carpentras !Rassemblement National 26.7% · 2,896
  2. Ensemble, fiers de Carpentras avec Serge AndrieuMiscellaneous left 25.2% · 2,729
  3. Nous sommes tous CarpentrasMiscellaneous left 24.3% · 2,634
  4. Carpentrassiens d'abord !Far right 14.3% · 1,554
  5. Changer CarpentrasFar right 9.5% · 1,031

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carpentras

Carpentras is a commune in Vaucluse with 20,430 registered voters, the 2nd largest of the département's 151 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 54.1% of them voted, fewer than the 58.5% across Vaucluse, and the list led by Hervé De Lépinau won 30 of the council's 39 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 29%, France Unbowed 24.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.1%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 7 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 42%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 17.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carpentras from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 42.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 17.7% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.1% · France 14.3%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.2% · France 3.8%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.2% · France 7.6%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.3% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.1% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.5% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 29.0% · France Unbowed 24.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.1% · Reconquête 10.5% · Republicans 3.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Vaucluse

Every commune in Vaucluse → · All of France →