France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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La Croix-Valmer: Nicolas Patel's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

La Croix-Valmer (Var, INSEE 83048) has 3,161 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 2,112 voted, 2,088 valid votes

  1. LA CROIX-VALMER DEMAINLed by Nicolas Patel · Miscellaneous right 40.7% · 849 · 20 seats
  2. UN VILLAGE QUI NOUS RASSEMBLELed by Rene Carandante · Miscellaneous right 33.3% · 696 · 4 seats
  3. NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE PRIORITELed by Muriel Lecca Berger · Miscellaneous right 26.0% · 543 · 3 seats

Round one, 15 March · 1,942 voted, 1,906 valid votes

  1. LA CROIX-VALMER DEMAINMiscellaneous right 38.9% · 742
  2. UN VILLAGE QUI NOUS RASSEMBLEMiscellaneous right 30.8% · 587
  3. NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE PRIORITEMiscellaneous right 30.3% · 577

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About La Croix-Valmer

La Croix-Valmer is a commune in Var with 3,161 registered voters, the 63rd largest of the département's 153 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.4% of them voted, more than the 58% across Var, and the list led by Nicolas Patel won 20 of the council's 27 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30%, National Rally 23.2%, Reconquête 15.7%. France Unbowed did 10 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 36.1%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to La Croix-Valmer from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.3% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.5% · France 13.4%
  4. Éric ZemmourReconquête 10.3% · France 3.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.2% · France 16.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.9% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.5% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.0% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.0% · National Rally 23.2% · Reconquête 15.7% · France Unbowed 12.3% · Republicans 6.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Var

Every commune in Var → · All of France →