France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Var

Carqueiranne: UN ELAN POUR CARQUEIRANNE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Carqueiranne (Var, INSEE 83034) has 9,209 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 5,681 voted, 5,562 valid votes

  1. UN ELAN POUR CARQUEIRANNEMiscellaneous right 71.2% · 3,960 · 26 seats
  2. POUR CARQUEIRANNE, UNE PAROLE ET DES ACTES !Union of the far right 17.7% · 986 · 2 seats
  3. REUSSIR CARQUEIRANNEMiscellaneous centre 11.1% · 616 · 1 seat

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Carqueiranne

Carqueiranne is a commune in Var with 9,209 registered voters, the 23rd largest of the département's 153 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.7% of them voted, more than the 58% across Var, and UN ELAN POUR CARQUEIRANNE won 26 of the council's 29 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.8%, National Rally 24.1%, Reconquête 14.3%. France Unbowed did 10 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 36.9%, with Édouard Philippe on 16.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Carqueiranne from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 36.9% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.7% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.7% · France 13.4%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.7% · France 7.6%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 9.2% · France 3.8%
  6. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.5% · France 16.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.5% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.2% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.8% · National Rally 24.1% · Reconquête 14.3% · France Unbowed 11.5% · Republicans 6.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Var

Every commune in Var → · All of France →