France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Val-de-Marne

Fresnes: Christophe Carlier's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Fresnes (Val-de-Marne, INSEE 94034) has 15,029 registered voters. Its council has 35 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 7,484 voted, 7,284 valid votes

  1. MIEUX VIVRE A FRESNES AVEC CHRISTOPHE CARLIERLed by Christophe Carlier · Les Républicains 45.0% · 3,278 · 26 seats
  2. FRESNES SOLIDAIRE VERTE ET VIVANTELed by Marie Chavanon · Union of the left 43.5% · 3,171 · 7 seats
  3. FRESNES, JE M'ENGAGELed by Jean-Jacques Bridey · Miscellaneous centre 11.5% · 835 · 2 seats

Round one, 15 March · 7,219 voted, 7,075 valid votes

  1. MIEUX VIVRE A FRESNES AVEC CHRISTOPHE CARLIERLes Républicains 29.6% · 2,096
  2. FRESNES SOLIDAIRE VERTE ET VIVANTEUnion of the left 23.2% · 1,641
  3. FRESNES ENSEMBLEEcologist 20.6% · 1,457
  4. UNIS POUR FRESNESMiscellaneous left 13.5% · 952
  5. FRESNES, JE M'ENGAGEMiscellaneous centre 13.1% · 929

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fresnes

Fresnes is a commune in Val-de-Marne with 15,029 registered voters, the 21st largest of the département's 47 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 48% of them voted, fewer than the 50.7% across Val-de-Marne, and the list led by Christophe Carlier won 26 of the council's 35 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 36.9%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.1%, National Rally 11.3%. France Unbowed did 15 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 30.3%, with Marine Le Pen on 21.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Fresnes from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 30.3% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 21.2% · France 34.2%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.3% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.1% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 4.0% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.0% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.9% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.5% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 36.9% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.1% · National Rally 11.3% · Greens 5.7% · Reconquête 5.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Val-de-Marne

Every commune in Val-de-Marne → · All of France →