France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Val-d'Oise

Jagny-sous-Bois: ENSEMBLE POUR JAGNY won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Jagny-sous-Bois (Val-d'Oise, INSEE 95316) has 205 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 126 voted, 90 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR JAGNYNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 90 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Jagny-sous-Bois

Jagny-sous-Bois is a commune in Val-d'Oise with 205 registered voters, the 157th largest of the département's 183 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 61.5% of them voted, more than the 50.1% across Val-d'Oise, and ENSEMBLE POUR JAGNY won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 39.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19%, France Unbowed 17.8%. National Rally did 16 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 51.6%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 12.1%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Jagny-sous-Bois from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 51.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.1% · France 16.8%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.9% · France 7.6%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.5% · France 13.4%
  5. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.0% · France 14.3%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.5% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.9% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 0.6% · France 2.1%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 39.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.0% · France Unbowed 17.8% · Reconquête 8.6% · Republicans 6.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Val-d'Oise

Every commune in Val-d'Oise → · All of France →