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Lavaur: LAVAUR L'HEUREUSE ! won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Lavaur (Tarn, INSEE 81140) has 8,941 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 5,796 voted, 5,665 valid votes

  1. LAVAUR L'HEUREUSE !Miscellaneous right 54.3% · 3,076 · 26 seats
  2. POUR LAVAUR TOUT SIMPLEMENTMiscellaneous left 25.5% · 1,442 · 4 seats
  3. CHANGEONS LAVAURUnion of the left 20.2% · 1,147 · 3 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Lavaur

Lavaur is a commune in Tarn with 8,941 registered voters, the 5th largest of the département's 314 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 64.8% of them voted, more than the 62.4% across Tarn, and LAVAUR L'HEUREUSE ! won 26 of the council's 33 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.5%, France Unbowed 24%, National Rally 19.6%. National Rally did 4 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 31.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 18%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Lavaur from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 31.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 18.0% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.0% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.7% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.9% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.8% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 3.1% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.2% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.5% · France Unbowed 24.0% · National Rally 19.6% · Reconquête 7.1% · Republicans 7.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Tarn

Every commune in Tarn → · All of France →