Lacaune: LACAUNE POURSUIVRE LE MÊME ÉLAN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Lacaune (Tarn, INSEE 81124) has 1,859 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,859registered voters
- 68%turnout, 2026 round one
- 44.4%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,263 voted, 951 valid votes
- LACAUNE POURSUIVRE LE MÊME ÉLANNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 951 · 19 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Lacaune
Lacaune is a commune in Tarn with 1,859 registered voters, the 28th largest of the département's 314 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 67.9% of them voted, more than the 62.4% across Tarn, and LACAUNE POURSUIVRE LE MÊME ÉLAN won 19 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 31.6%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 24%, France Unbowed 12.3%. France Unbowed did 10 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.4%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 15%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Lacaune from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.4% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 15.0% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.9% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.0% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.7% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.2% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.0% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.1% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.0% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 31.6% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.0% · France Unbowed 12.3% · Others 8.8% · Republicans 7.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Tarn
- Arthès1,844 voters · No label (small commune)
- Payrin-Augmontel1,839 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cambon1,818 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lagrave1,796 voters · No label (small commune)
- Burlats1,794 voters · No label (small commune)
- Roquecourbe1,789 voters · No label (small commune)
- Brens1,943 voters · No label (small commune)
- Soual1,985 voters · No label (small commune)