France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Tarn-et-Garonne

Valence: EN AVANT VALENCE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Valence (Tarn-et-Garonne, INSEE 82186) has 3,274 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 2,155 voted, 1,963 valid votes

  1. EN AVANT VALENCEMiscellaneous left 61.3% · 1,204 · 24 seats
  2. DEBOUT VALENCEFar right 38.7% · 759 · 5 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valence

Valence is a commune in Tarn-et-Garonne with 3,274 registered voters, the 9th largest of the département's 195 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 65.8% of them voted, more than the 61% across Tarn-et-Garonne, and EN AVANT VALENCE won 24 of the council's 29 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 29.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.9%, France Unbowed 17.1%. National Rally did 6 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 42.2%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 16%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Valence from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 42.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.0% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.2% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.5% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.1% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.0% · France 3.8%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.2% · France 2.0%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.5% · France 2.1%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 29.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.9% · France Unbowed 17.1% · Reconquête 7.6% · Others 6.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Tarn-et-Garonne

Every commune in Tarn-et-Garonne → · All of France →