Le Causé: Ensemble pour le Cause won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Causé (Tarn-et-Garonne, INSEE 82036) has 136 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 136registered voters
- 76%turnout, 2026 round one
- 33.0%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 103 voted, 91 valid votes
- Ensemble pour le CauseNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 91 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
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About Le Causé
Le Causé is a commune in Tarn-et-Garonne with 136 registered voters, the 157th largest of the département's 195 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 75.7% of them voted, more than the 61% across Tarn-et-Garonne, and Ensemble pour le Cause won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.8%, National Rally 22.3%, France Unbowed 18.2%. Others did 8 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 33%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 22.4%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Causé from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 33.0% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 22.4% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.2% · France 14.3%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 13.1% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.8% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.7% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.4% · France 2.0%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.8% · National Rally 22.3% · France Unbowed 18.2% · Others 11.6% · Republicans 9.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Tarn-et-Garonne
- Sauveterre136 voters · No label (small commune)
- Perville135 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gariès134 voters · No label (small commune)
- Belbèze-en-Lomagne139 voters · No label (small commune)
- Maubec139 voters · No label (small commune)
- Lacour140 voters · No label (small commune)
- Auty130 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Arroumex129 voters · No label (small commune)