France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Bailleul-Neuville: BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A BAILLEUL NEUVILLE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Bailleul-Neuville (Seine-Maritime, INSEE 76052) has 183 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 152 voted, 148 valid votes

  1. BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A BAILLEUL NEUVILLENo label (small commune) 52.0% · 77 · 9 seats
  2. Une nouvelle énergie pour notre communeNo label (small commune) 48.0% · 71 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bailleul-Neuville

Bailleul-Neuville is a commune in Seine-Maritime with 183 registered voters, the 581st largest of the département's 707 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 83.1% of them voted, more than the 56.1% across Seine-Maritime, and BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A BAILLEUL NEUVILLE won 9 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 37.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.5%, Republicans 10.1%. France Unbowed did 18 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 51.8%, with Bruno Retailleau on 14.4%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Bailleul-Neuville from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 51.8% · France 34.2%
  2. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 14.4% · France 7.6%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.6% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.3% · France 13.4%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.7% · France 3.8%
  6. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 3.1% · France 16.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.5% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 37.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.5% · Republicans 10.1% · Reconquête 8.7% · Others 5.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Seine-Maritime

Every commune in Seine-Maritime → · All of France →