France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Seine-et-Marne

Jouarre: Gabriel Dagorn's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Jouarre (Seine-et-Marne, INSEE 77238) has 3,010 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 1,679 voted, 1,640 valid votes

  1. UN NOUVEL ELAN POUR JOUARRE ET SES HAMEAUXLed by Gabriel Dagorn · Miscellaneous 55.1% · 903 · 21 seats
  2. JOUARRE ENSEMBLELed by Fabien Vallee · Union of the far right 44.9% · 737 · 6 seats

Round one, 15 March · 1,612 voted, 1,577 valid votes

  1. JOUARRE ENSEMBLEUnion of the far right 37.0% · 583
  2. UN NOUVEL ELAN POUR JOUARRE ET SES HAMEAUXMiscellaneous 35.1% · 554
  3. MIEUX VIVRE ENSEMBLE A JOUARRE ET DANS SES HAMEAUXMiscellaneous right 27.9% · 440

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Jouarre

Jouarre is a commune in Seine-et-Marne with 3,010 registered voters, the 68th largest of the département's 506 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 53.6% of them voted, close to the 51.6% across Seine-et-Marne, and the list led by Gabriel Dagorn won 21 of the council's 27 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 32.1%, France Unbowed 22%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1%. National Rally did 9 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.2%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 15.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Jouarre from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.3% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.7% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.3% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.6% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.8% · France 2.1%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.2% · France 2.0%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.4% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 32.1% · France Unbowed 22.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1% · Reconquête 7.2% · Republicans 5.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Seine-et-Marne

Every commune in Seine-et-Marne → · All of France →