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Pau: Jérôme Marbot's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Pau (Pyrénées-Atlantiques, INSEE 64445) has 48,691 registered voters. Its council has 53 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 27,092 voted, 26,323 valid votes

  1. NOUVELLE ÈRELed by Jérôme Marbot · Union of the left 42.4% · 11,174 · 38 seats
  2. NOUS AIMONS PAULed by François Bayrou · Miscellaneous centre 41.1% · 10,830 · 11 seats
  3. L'ESPÉRANCE POUR PAULed by Margaux Taillefer · Rassemblement National 16.4% · 4,319 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 26,759 voted, 26,164 valid votes

  1. NOUS AIMONS PAUMiscellaneous centre 33.8% · 8,851
  2. NOUVELLE ÈREUnion of the left 26.3% · 6,884
  3. L'ESPÉRANCE POUR PAURassemblement National 16.3% · 4,255
  4. PAU, C'EST VOUS !Miscellaneous 8.7% · 2,288
  5. PAU INSOUMISE ECOLOGISTE ET CITOYENNEFrance Unbowed 7.0% · 1,841
  6. ARRAOU AVEC VOUSMiscellaneous 6.2% · 1,610
  7. LUTTE OUVRIERE - LE CAMP DES TRAVAILLEURSFar left 1.7% · 435

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Pau

Pau is a commune in Pyrénées-Atlantiques with 48,691 registered voters, the largest of the département's 545 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 55% of them voted, fewer than the 62.5% across Pyrénées-Atlantiques, and the list led by Jérôme Marbot won 38 of the council's 53 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.7%, France Unbowed 25%, National Rally 14.4%. National Rally did 9 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 25.7%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 20%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Pau from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 25.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 20.0% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 17.3% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.8% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.4% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 4.2% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.3% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.7% · France Unbowed 25.0% · National Rally 14.4% · Reconquête 7.1% · Others 6.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pyrénées-Atlantiques

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