France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Pyrénées-Atlantiques

Biarritz: Serge Blanco's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Biarritz (Pyrénées-Atlantiques, INSEE 64122) has 23,809 registered voters. Its council has 35 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 14,437 voted, 14,201 valid votes

  1. MON EQUIPE C'EST BIARRITZ !Led by Serge Blanco · Miscellaneous centre 41.9% · 5,953 · 25 seats
  2. Ensemble, vivons BiarritzLed by Maïder Arosteguy · Miscellaneous right 32.2% · 4,574 · 6 seats
  3. BIARRITZ BERRI NOUVELLE VAGUELed by Ana Ezcurra · Miscellaneous left 25.9% · 3,674 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 13,657 voted, 13,476 valid votes

  1. MON EQUIPE C'EST BIARRITZ !Miscellaneous centre 26.7% · 3,596
  2. Ensemble, vivons BiarritzMiscellaneous right 26.6% · 3,584
  3. BIARRITZ BERRI AVEC ET POUR LES BIARROTSUnion of the left 17.8% · 2,402
  4. CAP BIARRITZMiscellaneous centre 13.1% · 1,767
  5. BIARRITZ NOUVELLE VAGUEMiscellaneous centre 12.2% · 1,638
  6. Biarritz d'abordMiscellaneous right 3.6% · 489

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Biarritz

Biarritz is a commune in Pyrénées-Atlantiques with 23,809 registered voters, the 4th largest of the département's 545 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 57.4% of them voted, fewer than the 62.5% across Pyrénées-Atlantiques, and the list led by Serge Blanco won 25 of the council's 35 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 36%, France Unbowed 17.1%, National Rally 12.1%. National Rally did 11 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 23%, with Édouard Philippe on 22.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Biarritz from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 23.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 22.3% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.2% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 13.7% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.3% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 4.4% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 36.0% · France Unbowed 17.1% · National Rally 12.1% · Reconquête 9.9% · Republicans 7.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pyrénées-Atlantiques

Every commune in Pyrénées-Atlantiques → · All of France →