France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Pas-de-Calais

Noreuil: BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A NOREUIL won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Noreuil (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62619) has 115 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 76 voted, 65 valid votes

  1. BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A NOREUILNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 65 · 11 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Noreuil

Noreuil is a commune in Pas-de-Calais with 115 registered voters, the 798th largest of the département's 886 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 66.1% of them voted, more than the 60.3% across Pas-de-Calais, and BIEN VIVRE ENSEMBLE A NOREUIL won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 37.4%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.3%, Reconquête 9.1%. National Rally did 14 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 49.9%, with Édouard Philippe on 14.4%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Noreuil from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 49.9% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.4% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.6% · France 13.4%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.4% · France 7.6%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 5.5% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.9% · France 3.8%
  7. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 2.3% · France 0.6%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.2% · France 2.9%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.0% · France 2.1%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.8% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 37.4% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.3% · Reconquête 9.1% · France Unbowed 8.1% · Far left 4.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →