France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Pas-de-Calais

Lespinoy: REUSSIR ENSEMBLE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Lespinoy (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62501) has 190 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 173 voted, 166 valid votes

  1. REUSSIR ENSEMBLENo label (small commune) 61.4% · 102 · 9 seats
  2. DU RENOUVEAU POUR LESPINOYNo label (small commune) 38.6% · 64 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Lespinoy

Lespinoy is a commune in Pas-de-Calais with 190 registered voters, the 666th largest of the département's 886 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 91.1% of them voted, more than the 60.3% across Pas-de-Calais, and REUSSIR ENSEMBLE won 9 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 37.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.4%, France Unbowed 13.8%. National Rally did 14 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 49.9%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 11.4%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Lespinoy from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 49.9% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.4% · France 13.4%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.8% · France 14.3%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.5% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.6% · France 7.6%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 5.2% · France 2.0%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.9% · France 3.8%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.4% · France 2.1%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.7% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 37.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.4% · France Unbowed 13.8% · Communist Party 6.0% · Reconquête 6.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →