France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Clairmarais: Ensemble, Continuons à faire vivre Clairmarais won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Clairmarais (Pas-de-Calais, INSEE 62225) has 489 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 411 voted, 402 valid votes

  1. Ensemble, Continuons à faire vivre ClairmaraisNo label (small commune) 63.7% · 256 · 13 seats
  2. CAP CLAIRMARAISNo label (small commune) 36.3% · 146 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Clairmarais

Clairmarais is a commune in Pas-de-Calais with 489 registered voters, the 374th largest of the département's 886 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 84% of them voted, more than the 60.3% across Pas-de-Calais, and Ensemble, Continuons à faire vivre Clairmarais won 13 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.7%, National Rally 26.1%, France Unbowed 13.7%. France Unbowed did 8 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 39.6%, with Édouard Philippe on 18.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Clairmarais from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 39.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 18.2% · France 14.3%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.1% · France 7.6%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.1% · France 13.4%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.2% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.6% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.5% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.3% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.2% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.7% · National Rally 26.1% · France Unbowed 13.7% · Republicans 7.1% · Reconquête 6.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Pas-de-Calais

Every commune in Pas-de-Calais → · All of France →