France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Orne

Pervenchères: Eric Tranchant's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Pervenchères (Orne, INSEE 61327) has 241 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 210 voted, 208 valid votes

  1. VIVRE ET AGIR POUR PERVENCHÈRESLed by Eric Tranchant · No label (small commune) 47.1% · 98 · 9 seats
  2. Unis pour PervenchèresLed by Marc Querolle · No label (small commune) 45.7% · 95 · 2 seats
  3. Ensemble décidons DemainLed by Bruno Ramond · No label (small commune) 7.2% · 15

Round one, 15 March · 200 voted, 199 valid votes

  1. Unis pour PervenchèresNo label (small commune) 44.2% · 88
  2. VIVRE ET AGIR POUR PERVENCHÈRESNo label (small commune) 43.2% · 86
  3. Ensemble décidons DemainNo label (small commune) 12.6% · 25

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pervenchères

Pervenchères is a commune in Orne with 241 registered voters, the 170th largest of the département's 381 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 83% of them voted, more than the 58.1% across Orne, and the list led by Eric Tranchant won 9 of the council's 11 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 24.6%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1%, France Unbowed 15.6%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 6 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 34.4%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 17.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Pervenchères from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 34.4% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 17.6% · France 13.4%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.3% · France 7.6%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.6% · France 16.8%
  5. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.0% · France 14.3%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 7.6% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.6% · France 0.6%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.8% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 24.6% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1% · France Unbowed 15.6% · Reconquête 13.1% · Republicans 8.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Orne

Every commune in Orne → · All of France →