Le Ménil-Scelleur: Ensemble pour LE MENIL-SCELLEUR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Ménil-Scelleur (Orne, INSEE 61271) has 64 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 64registered voters
- 66%turnout, 2026 round one
- 50.3%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 42 voted, 33 valid votes
- Ensemble pour LE MENIL-SCELLEURNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 33 · 7 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Le Ménil-Scelleur
Le Ménil-Scelleur is a commune in Orne with 64 registered voters, the 356th largest of the département's 381 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 65.6% of them voted, more than the 58.1% across Orne, and Ensemble pour LE MENIL-SCELLEUR won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 36.2%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.7%, France Unbowed 10.6%. National Rally did 13 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 50.3%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 14.4%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Ménil-Scelleur from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 50.3% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.4% · France 13.4%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.8% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 7.6% · France 16.8%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.6% · France 3.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.2% · France 7.6%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.2% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.1% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 36.2% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 27.7% · France Unbowed 10.6% · Reconquête 8.5% · Others 6.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Orne
- Coudehard64 voters · No label (small commune)
- Vidai64 voters · No label (small commune)
- Mont-Ormel65 voters · No label (small commune)
- Avernes-Saint-Gourgon63 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sainte-Marie-la-Robert63 voters · No label (small commune)
- Brieux62 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Christophe-de-Chaulieu62 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Trinité-des-Laitiers61 voters · No label (small commune)