Ceaucé: L'esprit Ceaucé : Préserver, Développer, Partager won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Ceaucé (Orne, INSEE 61075) has 845 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 845registered voters
- 55%turnout, 2026 round one
- 34.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 464 voted, 357 valid votes
- L'esprit Ceaucé : Préserver, Développer, PartagerNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 357 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Ceaucé
Ceaucé is a commune in Orne with 845 registered voters, the 53rd largest of the département's 381 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 54.9% of them voted, fewer than the 58.1% across Orne, and L'esprit Ceaucé : Préserver, Développer, Partager won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 36.9%, National Rally 22.5%, France Unbowed 9.2%. France Unbowed did 13 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 34.5%, with Édouard Philippe on 21.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Ceaucé from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 34.5% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 21.2% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.3% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.0% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 6.8% · France 16.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 4.9% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.0% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 36.9% · National Rally 22.5% · France Unbowed 9.2% · Reconquête 7.3% · Republicans 7.1%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
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