Le Maisnil: LE MAISNIL, ENSEMBLE AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAIN won the town hall in 2026; Édouard Philippe would lead here in 2027
Le Maisnil (Nord, INSEE 59371) has 539 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 539registered voters
- 61%turnout, 2026 round one
- 28.6%Édouard Philippe, 2027 round one here (France: 14.3%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 327 voted, 294 valid votes
- LE MAISNIL, ENSEMBLE AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAINNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 294 · 15 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Le Maisnil
Le Maisnil is a commune in Nord with 539 registered voters, the 450th largest of the département's 647 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.7% of them voted, more than the 54.3% across Nord, and LE MAISNIL, ENSEMBLE AUJOURD'HUI POUR DEMAIN won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 45%, National Rally 14.5%, Reconquête 9.3%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 17 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Édouard Philippe ahead on 28.6%, with Marine Le Pen on 25.4%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Maisnil from how it voted in 2022.
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 28.6% · France 14.3%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 25.4% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.7% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.0% · France 7.6%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 6.8% · France 16.8%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.7% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 5.2% · France 2.9%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.9% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.1% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 45.0% · National Rally 14.5% · Reconquête 9.3% · France Unbowed 8.9% · Greens 7.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Nord
- Pommereuil539 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villers-Guislain541 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Neuville537 voters · No label (small commune)
- Troisvilles542 voters · No label (small commune)
- Tilloy-lez-Cambrai548 voters · No label (small commune)
- Cattenières529 voters · No label (small commune)
- Crochte528 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villers-au-Tertre528 voters · No label (small commune)