Estaires: ESTAIRES AVEC VOUS won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Estaires (Nord, INSEE 59212) has 5,294 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 5,294registered voters
- 60%turnout, 2026 round one
- 52.8%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 3,195 voted, 3,126 valid votes
- ESTAIRES AVEC VOUSMiscellaneous centre 61.3% · 1,916 · 24 seats
- Estaires, Votre Ville, Votre VoixMiscellaneous centre 28.9% · 903 · 4 seats
- Estaires au coeurMiscellaneous right 9.8% · 307 · 1 seat
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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About Estaires
Estaires is a commune in Nord with 5,294 registered voters, the 75th largest of the département's 647 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.4% of them voted, more than the 54.3% across Nord, and ESTAIRES AVEC VOUS won 24 of the council's 29 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 39.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.8%, France Unbowed 14.1%. National Rally did 16 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 52.8%, with Édouard Philippe on 12.4%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Estaires from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 52.8% · France 34.2%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.4% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.8% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.7% · France 16.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.2% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.3% · France 2.0%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.3% · France 2.9%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 39.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 25.8% · France Unbowed 14.1% · Reconquête 6.4% · Republicans 3.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Nord
- Quesnoy-sur-Deûle5,389 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Waziers5,127 voters · Miscellaneous
- Bourbourg5,080 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Trith-Saint-Léger5,045 voters · Communist
- Cuincy5,012 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Auby4,997 voters · Miscellaneous left
- Templeuve-en-Pévèle5,681 voters · Miscellaneous right
- Santes4,807 voters · Miscellaneous centre