France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Moselle

Saint-Avold: Hervé Simon's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Saint-Avold (Moselle, INSEE 57606) has 11,200 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 6,915 voted, 6,717 valid votes

  1. RASSEMBLEMENT POUR SAINT-AVOLDLed by Hervé Simon · Rassemblement National 43.3% · 2,908 · 24 seats
  2. UTILE POUR SAINT-AVOLDLed by Tristan Atmania · Miscellaneous centre 35.1% · 2,359 · 6 seats
  3. Pour Saint AvoldLed by René Steiner · Miscellaneous 21.6% · 1,450 · 3 seats
  4. UNE EQUIPE ET DES PROJETS POUR SAINT AVOLDLed by André Wojciechowski · Miscellaneous right 0.0% · 0

Round one, 15 March · 6,583 voted, 6,446 valid votes

  1. RASSEMBLEMENT POUR SAINT-AVOLDRassemblement National 32.3% · 2,082
  2. UTILE POUR SAINT-AVOLDMiscellaneous centre 19.7% · 1,268
  3. Pour Saint AvoldMiscellaneous 16.9% · 1,090
  4. UNE EQUIPE ET DES PROJETS POUR SAINT AVOLDMiscellaneous right 15.9% · 1,025
  5. Notre SaintaMiscellaneous centre 8.9% · 573
  6. SAINT-AVOLD OUVRIÈRE ET SOLIDAIREMiscellaneous left 6.3% · 408

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Saint-Avold

Saint-Avold is a commune in Moselle with 11,200 registered voters, the 8th largest of the département's 724 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 58.8% of them voted, more than the 53.8% across Moselle, and the list led by Hervé Simon won 24 of the council's 33 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 32.1%, France Unbowed 23.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.8%. National Rally did 9 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 45.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 16.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Avold from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 45.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 16.7% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.0% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.8% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.6% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.7% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.2% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.9% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.4% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 32.1% · France Unbowed 23.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.8% · Reconquête 7.2% · Republicans 3.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Moselle

Every commune in Moselle → · All of France →