France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Moselle

Metz: François Grosdidier's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Metz (Moselle, INSEE 57463) has 72,166 registered voters. Its council has 55 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 31,568 voted, 30,955 valid votes

  1. J'aime MetzLed by François Grosdidier · Miscellaneous right 50.6% · 15,650 · 42 seats
  2. UN AVENIR A METZLed by Etienne Anstett · Rassemblement National 17.6% · 5,458 · 5 seats
  3. UNION DE LA GAUCHE ET DES ECOLOGISTES POUR METZLed by Charlotte Leduc · Union of the left 17.4% · 5,389 · 4 seats
  4. Un souffle nouveau pour MetzLed by Bertrand Mertz · Socialist 14.4% · 4,458 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 33,193 voted, 32,620 valid votes

  1. J'aime MetzMiscellaneous right 43.1% · 14,056
  2. UN AVENIR A METZRassemblement National 17.0% · 5,561
  3. Un souffle nouveau pour MetzSocialist 13.4% · 4,361
  4. METZ EN COMMUNFrance Unbowed 10.4% · 3,392
  5. MAINTENANT POUR METZUnion of the left 9.9% · 3,242
  6. METZ ENSEMBLEMiscellaneous centre 4.8% · 1,556
  7. LUTTE OUVRIERE - LE CAMP DES TRAVAILLEURSFar left 0.6% · 184
  8. NPA REVOLUTIONNAIRES - METZ OUVRIERE ET REVOLUTIONNAIREFar left 0.5% · 177
  9. Pour l'unité ouvrière, contre la guerre,soutenue pour le PTFar left 0.3% · 91

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Metz

Metz is a commune in Moselle with 72,166 registered voters, the largest of the département's 724 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 46% of them voted, fewer than the 53.8% across Moselle, and the list led by François Grosdidier won 42 of the council's 55 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.4%, France Unbowed 27.2%, National Rally 17.5%. National Rally did 6 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 29.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 21.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Metz from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 29.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 21.3% · France 16.8%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.9% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.0% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.1% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.0% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 3.7% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.6% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.4% · France Unbowed 27.2% · National Rally 17.5% · Reconquête 7.3% · Greens 5.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Moselle

Every commune in Moselle → · All of France →