France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Kani-Kéli: Assadillah Abdourahamani's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Kani-Kéli (Mayotte, INSEE 97609) has 4,134 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 3,293 voted, 3,224 valid votes

  1. MAGNA DZARI TANI-MOUVEMENT POUR LE DEVELOPPEMENT DU TERRITOIRELed by Assadillah Abdourahamani · Miscellaneous left 43.1% · 1,390 · 21 seats
  2. CONSTRUIRE KANI-KELILed by Hamidou Moussa · Miscellaneous right 29.0% · 936 · 4 seats
  3. MAZAVA DIA-LE CHEMIN EST CLAIRLed by Hanyou Achirafi · Miscellaneous centre 27.9% · 898 · 4 seats

Round one, 15 March · 3,214 voted, 3,119 valid votes

  1. MAGNA DZARI TANI-MOUVEMENT POUR LE DEVELOPPEMENT DU TERRITOIREMiscellaneous left 27.4% · 855
  2. MAZAVA DIA-LE CHEMIN EST CLAIRMiscellaneous centre 16.3% · 507
  3. CONSTRUIRE KANI-KELIMiscellaneous right 15.0% · 469
  4. NOUVEL ELAN - FAMPITIA 2026Miscellaneous centre 13.7% · 428
  5. MOUVEMENT POUR LE DEVELOPPEMENT DE KANI-KELIMiscellaneous right 11.8% · 368
  6. DZERI AREKI - L'UNITEMiscellaneous right 8.3% · 260
  7. MAMA M'LEZI ALOUHA (L'EDUCATION EN PRIORITE)Miscellaneous right 7.4% · 232

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Kani-Kéli

Kani-Kéli is a commune in Mayotte with 4,134 registered voters, the 16th largest of the département's 17 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 77.7% of them voted, more than the 70.4% across Mayotte, and the list led by Assadillah Abdourahamani won 21 of the council's 29 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 61.3%, France Unbowed 16.8%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 8.9%. National Rally did 38 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 67%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 9.8%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Kani-Kéli from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 67.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 9.8% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.9% · France 7.6%
  5. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 3.6% · France 14.3%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.1% · France 2.1%
  7. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 61.3% · France Unbowed 16.8% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 8.9% · Republicans 5.4% · Far left 2.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Mayotte

Every commune in Mayotte → · All of France →