France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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Bais: L'AVENIR DE BAIS, TOUS ENSEMBLE ! won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Bais (Mayenne, INSEE 53016) has 866 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 468 voted, 399 valid votes

  1. L'AVENIR DE BAIS, TOUS ENSEMBLE !No label (small commune) 100.0% · 399 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

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About Bais

Bais is a commune in Mayenne with 866 registered voters, the 61st largest of the département's 239 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 54% of them voted, close to the 56% across Mayenne, and L'AVENIR DE BAIS, TOUS ENSEMBLE ! won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.1%, National Rally 26%, France Unbowed 15.5%. France Unbowed did 6 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 38.2%, with Édouard Philippe on 17.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Bais from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 38.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 17.2% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.9% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.2% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.7% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.4% · France 2.9%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.4% · France 2.0%
  9. Éric ZemmourReconquête 1.9% · France 3.8%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 32.1% · National Rally 26.0% · France Unbowed 15.5% · Republicans 5.5% · Greens 4.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Mayenne

Every commune in Mayenne → · All of France →