France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Manche

Barneville-Carteret: MAINTENONS LE CAP won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Barneville-Carteret (Manche, INSEE 50031) has 2,101 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,433 voted, 1,397 valid votes

  1. MAINTENONS LE CAPNo label (small commune) 70.6% · 986 · 17 seats
  2. Barneville-Carteret, unis pour l'avenirNo label (small commune) 29.4% · 411 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Barneville-Carteret

Barneville-Carteret is a commune in Manche with 2,101 registered voters, the 38th largest of the département's 444 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 68.2% of them voted, more than the 57.8% across Manche, and MAINTENONS LE CAP won 17 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 38.7%, National Rally 17.4%, France Unbowed 13.4%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 11 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 29.2%, with Édouard Philippe on 23.5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Barneville-Carteret from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 29.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 23.5% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.1% · France 13.4%
  4. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.1% · France 7.6%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.2% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.8% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 3.1% · France 2.9%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.0% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.9% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.0% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 38.7% · National Rally 17.4% · France Unbowed 13.4% · Reconquête 7.1% · Republicans 6.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Manche

Every commune in Manche → · All of France →