France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Coeur de Causse: ENSEMBLE POUR NOS VILLAGES won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Coeur de Causse (Lot, INSEE 46138) has 832 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 676 voted, 644 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR NOS VILLAGESNo label (small commune) 53.6% · 345 · 15 seats
  2. TOUS UNIS POUR COEUR DE CAUSSENo label (small commune) 46.4% · 299 · 4 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Coeur de Causse

Coeur de Causse is a commune in Lot with 832 registered voters, the 30th largest of the département's 312 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 81.3% of them voted, more than the 65.9% across Lot, and ENSEMBLE POUR NOS VILLAGES won 15 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6%, National Rally 21.2%, France Unbowed 14.8%. Republicans did 10 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32.7%, with Bruno Retailleau on 20.9%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Coeur de Causse from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 20.9% · France 7.6%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.9% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.6% · France 14.3%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.8% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.7% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.6% · National Rally 21.2% · France Unbowed 14.8% · Republicans 14.6% · Others 9.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Lot

Every commune in Lot → · All of France →