France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Loire

Saint-Paul-en-Jarez: TOUS UNIS POUR SAINT-PAUL won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Saint-Paul-en-Jarez (Loire, INSEE 42271) has 3,331 registered voters. Its council has 29 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,361 voted, 1,084 valid votes

  1. TOUS UNIS POUR SAINT-PAULMiscellaneous right 100.0% · 1,084 · 29 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Saint-Paul-en-Jarez

Saint-Paul-en-Jarez is a commune in Loire with 3,331 registered voters, the 31st largest of the département's 316 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 40.9% of them voted, fewer than the 52.4% across Loire, and TOUS UNIS POUR SAINT-PAUL won 29 of the council's 29 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 27.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 26.1%, France Unbowed 18%. France Unbowed did 4 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 39.3%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 14.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Paul-en-Jarez from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 39.3% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.3% · France 13.4%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 13.0% · France 14.3%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 12.9% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.2% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.2% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.9% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.7% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.9% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 27.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 26.1% · France Unbowed 18.0% · Reconquête 8.0% · Republicans 5.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Loire

Every commune in Loire → · All of France →