France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Loire-Atlantique

Nantes: Johanna Rolland's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Nantes (Loire-Atlantique, INSEE 44109) has 203,144 registered voters. Its council has 69 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 128,076 voted, 123,877 valid votes

  1. La gauche unie pour NantesLed by Johanna Rolland · Miscellaneous left 52.2% · 64,644 · 53 seats
  2. VOTRE NOUVEAU SOUFFLE POUR NANTESLed by Foulques Chombart De Lauwe · Miscellaneous right 47.8% · 59,233 · 16 seats

Round one, 15 March · 122,587 voted, 120,878 valid votes

  1. La gauche unie pour NantesUnion of the left 35.2% · 42,599
  2. VOTRE NOUVEAU SOUFFLE POUR NANTESMiscellaneous right 33.8% · 40,815
  3. Nouvelle NantesFrance Unbowed 11.2% · 13,542
  4. NANTES MERITE MIEUXMiscellaneous centre 8.1% · 9,819
  5. Nantes PopulaireMiscellaneous left 5.5% · 6,683
  6. Pour une Nantes SûreRassemblement National 4.6% · 5,527
  7. NPA -Révolutionnaires! Nantes ouvrière et RévolutionnaireFar left 0.9% · 1,046
  8. Lutte ouvrière - Le camp des travailleursFar left 0.7% · 847

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Nantes

Nantes is a commune in Loire-Atlantique with 203,144 registered voters, the largest of the département's 207 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 60.3% of them voted, more than the 58.3% across Loire-Atlantique, and the list led by Johanna Rolland won 53 of the council's 69 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 33.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.6%, Greens 10%. National Rally did 15 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Jean-Luc Mélenchon ahead on 26.9%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 17%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Nantes from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 26.9% · France 16.8%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 17.0% · France 13.4%
  3. Marine Le PenNational Rally 16.9% · France 34.2%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.5% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.3% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 7.5% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.4% · France 3.8%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.7% · France 2.0%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.3% · France 2.1%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 33.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.6% · Greens 10.0% · National Rally 8.1% · Reconquête 6.2%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Loire-Atlantique

Every commune in Loire-Atlantique → · All of France →