France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Les Avirons: AVANÇONS won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Les Avirons (La Réunion, INSEE 97401) has 10,036 registered voters. Its council has 33 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 6,723 voted, 6,487 valid votes

  1. AVANÇONSMiscellaneous centre 51.5% · 3,343 · 25 seats
  2. ENSEMBLE, RETROUVONS NOTRE QUALITE DE VIEMiscellaneous centre 36.5% · 2,369 · 6 seats
  3. LES AVIRONS ALLONS CONSTRUIRE ZOT DEMAINMiscellaneous left 11.9% · 775 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Les Avirons

Les Avirons is a commune in La Réunion with 10,036 registered voters, the 17th largest of the département's 24 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 67% of them voted, more than the 55.3% across La Réunion, and AVANÇONS won 25 of the council's 33 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 41.4%, National Rally 21.8%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 17%. France Unbowed did 19 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32.7%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 31.8%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Les Avirons from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.7% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 31.8% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.6% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 8.5% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.4% · France 7.6%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.0% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.4% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.1% · France 2.9%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.9% · France 0.6%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.5% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 41.4% · National Rally 21.8% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 17.0% · Reconquête 4.8% · Greens 3.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in La Réunion

Every commune in La Réunion → · All of France →