France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Jura

Soucia: AGIR won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Soucia (Jura, INSEE 39519) has 154 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 133 voted, 130 valid votes

  1. AGIRNo label (small commune) 60.8% · 79 · 9 seats
  2. SouciaNo label (small commune) 39.2% · 51 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Soucia

Soucia is a commune in Jura with 154 registered voters, the 302nd largest of the département's 490 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 86.4% of them voted, more than the 57.6% across Jura, and AGIR won 9 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 31%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.4%, National Rally 22.4%. France Unbowed did 9 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 33.3%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 23%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Soucia from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 33.3% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 23.0% · France 16.8%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.5% · France 7.6%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.1% · France 14.3%
  5. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.8% · France 13.4%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.8% · France 2.0%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.5% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.1% · France 2.9%
  9. Éric ZemmourReconquête 0.9% · France 3.8%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 31.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.4% · National Rally 22.4% · Republicans 7.8% · Communist Party 4.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Jura

Every commune in Jura → · All of France →