France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Hautes-Pyrénées

Gembrie: VIVONS GEMBRIE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Gembrie (Hautes-Pyrénées, INSEE 65193) has 80 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 64 voted, 58 valid votes

  1. VIVONS GEMBRIENo label (small commune) 100.0% · 58 · 7 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Gembrie

Gembrie is a commune in Hautes-Pyrénées with 80 registered voters, the 330th largest of the département's 466 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 80% of them voted, more than the 62.8% across Hautes-Pyrénées, and VIVONS GEMBRIE won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.3%, France Unbowed 20.8%, National Rally 18.9%. Others did 10 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 30.8%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 20.4%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Gembrie from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 30.8% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 20.4% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.7% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 11.9% · France 7.6%
  6. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 3.5% · France 2.0%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.4% · France 2.9%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.3% · France Unbowed 20.8% · National Rally 18.9% · Others 13.2% · Republicans 7.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Hautes-Pyrénées

Every commune in Hautes-Pyrénées → · All of France →