Capvern: ENSEMBLE POUR CAPVERN won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Capvern (Hautes-Pyrénées, INSEE 65127) has 1,106 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,106registered voters
- 76%turnout, 2026 round one
- 35.9%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 838 voted, 812 valid votes
- ENSEMBLE POUR CAPVERNNo label (small commune) 51.4% · 417 · 12 seats
- SOYONS CAPNo label (small commune) 48.6% · 395 · 3 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Capvern
Capvern is a commune in Hautes-Pyrénées with 1,106 registered voters, the 23rd largest of the département's 466 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 75.8% of them voted, more than the 62.8% across Hautes-Pyrénées, and ENSEMBLE POUR CAPVERN won 12 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 23.2%, France Unbowed 19.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.4%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 35.9%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 19.5%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Capvern from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 35.9% · France 34.2%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 19.5% · France 13.4%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.4% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.6% · France 14.3%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 6.1% · France 2.0%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.0% · France 3.8%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.8% · France 7.6%
- Marine TondelierGreens 2.3% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.8% · France 2.1%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 23.2% · France Unbowed 19.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.4% · Others 11.2% · Reconquête 8.7%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Hautes-Pyrénées
- Oursbelille1,116 voters · No label (small commune)
- Horgues1,096 voters · No label (small commune)
- Rabastens-de-Bigorre1,087 voters · No label (small commune)
- Andrest1,185 voters · No label (small commune)
- Tournay1,000 voters · No label (small commune)
- Gerde990 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Barthe-de-Neste981 voters · No label (small commune)
- Pouzac969 voters · No label (small commune)