France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Hautes-Pyrénées

Bartrès: Unis pour bartrès won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Bartrès (Hautes-Pyrénées, INSEE 65070) has 432 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 332 voted, 326 valid votes

  1. Unis pour bartrèsNo label (small commune) 64.4% · 210 · 9 seats
  2. ENSEMBLE POUR UN AVENIR RESPONSABLENo label (small commune) 35.6% · 116 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bartrès

Bartrès is a commune in Hautes-Pyrénées with 432 registered voters, the 68th largest of the département's 466 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 76.9% of them voted, more than the 62.8% across Hautes-Pyrénées, and Unis pour bartrès won 9 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.5%, National Rally 27.7%, France Unbowed 12.6%. France Unbowed did 9 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.8%, with Édouard Philippe on 18.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Bartrès from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.8% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 18.6% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.4% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.1% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 6.6% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.9% · France 3.8%
  7. Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.1% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 0.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 31.5% · National Rally 27.7% · France Unbowed 12.6% · Others 11.3% · Reconquête 6.9%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Hautes-Pyrénées

Every commune in Hautes-Pyrénées → · All of France →