La Roche-des-Arnauds: AVENIR ROCHOIS won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
La Roche-des-Arnauds (Hautes-Alpes, INSEE 05123) has 1,326 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 1,326registered voters
- 77%turnout, 2026 round one
- 40.5%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 1,024 voted, 988 valid votes
- AVENIR ROCHOISNo label (small commune) 69.0% · 682 · 16 seats
- LA ROCHE AU COEURNo label (small commune) 31.0% · 306 · 3 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
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What changes hands
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About La Roche-des-Arnauds
La Roche-des-Arnauds is a commune in Hautes-Alpes with 1,326 registered voters, the 13th largest of the département's 162 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 77.2% of them voted, more than the 66.1% across Hautes-Alpes, and AVENIR ROCHOIS won 16 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 28.8%, France Unbowed 20.1%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.7%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 9 points worse here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 40.5%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 14%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to La Roche-des-Arnauds from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 40.5% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.0% · France 16.8%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.8% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 9.8% · France 7.6%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.2% · France 14.3%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.3% · France 3.8%
- Marine TondelierGreens 4.1% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.6% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.3% · France 2.0%
- Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.5% · France 0.6%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 28.8% · France Unbowed 20.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 18.7% · Reconquête 8.1% · Republicans 6.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Hautes-Alpes
- Vallouise-Pelvoux1,268 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Chaffrey1,426 voters · No label (small commune)
- Villar-Saint-Pancrace1,229 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Saulce1,137 voters · No label (small commune)
- Val Buëch-Méouge1,058 voters · No label (small commune)
- Crots1,053 voters · No label (small commune)
- Châteauroux-les-Alpes1,050 voters · No label (small commune)
- Tallard1,680 voters · No label (small commune)