France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Haute-Saône

Noroy-le-Bourg: ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR, INTEGRITE ET ACTION POUR NOROY LE BOURG won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Noroy-le-Bourg (Haute-Saône, INSEE 70390) has 393 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 309 voted, 293 valid votes

  1. ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR, INTEGRITE ET ACTION POUR NOROY LE BOURGNo label (small commune) 53.2% · 156 · 12 seats
  2. UNIS POUR NOROY LE BOURG AVEC VOUS ET POUR VOUS !No label (small commune) 46.8% · 137 · 3 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Noroy-le-Bourg

Noroy-le-Bourg is a commune in Haute-Saône with 393 registered voters, the 102nd largest of the département's 531 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 78.6% of them voted, more than the 62.1% across Haute-Saône, and ENSEMBLE POUR L'AVENIR, INTEGRITE ET ACTION POUR NOROY LE BOURG won 12 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 30.5%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1%, France Unbowed 11.4%. France Unbowed did 11 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 41%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 16.3%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Noroy-le-Bourg from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 41.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.3% · France 13.4%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 10.2% · France 7.6%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 9.9% · France 14.3%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 7.7% · France 16.8%
  6. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 5.4% · France 2.1%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.5% · France 3.8%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.6% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.7% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 30.5% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 21.1% · France Unbowed 11.4% · Reconquête 7.3% · Republicans 7.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Saône

Every commune in Haute-Saône → · All of France →