France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Orbigny-au-Val: ORBIGNY-AU-VAL won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Orbigny-au-Val (Haute-Marne, INSEE 52363) has 82 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 53 voted, 49 valid votes

  1. ORBIGNY-AU-VALNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 49 · 7 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Orbigny-au-Val

Orbigny-au-Val is a commune in Haute-Marne with 82 registered voters, the 275th largest of the département's 422 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 64.6% of them voted, more than the 57.2% across Haute-Marne, and ORBIGNY-AU-VAL won 7 of the council's 7 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 25.7%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20%, National Rally 18.6%. Ensemble (Macron camp) did 8 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 32%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 21%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Orbigny-au-Val from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.0% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 21.0% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.9% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Marine TondelierGreens 7.8% · France 2.9%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 5.7% · France 7.6%
  7. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 2.9% · France 0.6%
  8. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.4% · France 3.8%
  9. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.7% · France 2.1%
  10. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.4% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 25.7% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.0% · National Rally 18.6% · Others 10.0% · Greens 10.0%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Marne

Every commune in Haute-Marne → · All of France →