France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Haute-Loire

Saint-Paul-de-Tartas: SAINT-PAUL-DE-TARTAS, ENSEMBLE ! won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Saint-Paul-de-Tartas (Haute-Loire, INSEE 43215) has 283 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 270 voted, 261 valid votes

  1. SAINT-PAUL-DE-TARTAS, ENSEMBLE !No label (small commune) 52.1% · 136 · 9 seats
  2. POUR UNE RURALITÉ DYNAMIQUENo label (small commune) 47.9% · 125 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Saint-Paul-de-Tartas

Saint-Paul-de-Tartas is a commune in Haute-Loire with 283 registered voters, the 135th largest of the département's 256 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 95.4% of them voted, more than the 62% across Haute-Loire, and SAINT-PAUL-DE-TARTAS, ENSEMBLE ! won 9 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 25%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.4%, Others 14.4%. Others did 11 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 38.6%, with Bruno Retailleau on 16.9%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Paul-de-Tartas from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 38.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 16.9% · France 7.6%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 14.5% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.2% · France 14.3%
  5. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 8.9% · France 16.8%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 5.6% · France 3.8%
  7. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.3% · France 2.0%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.4% · France 2.1%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 1.2% · France 2.9%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.6% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 25.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 19.4% · Others 14.4% · France Unbowed 11.9% · Republicans 11.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Loire

Every commune in Haute-Loire → · All of France →