France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Tarabel: Vivre à Tarabel, c'est décider ensemble won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Tarabel (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31551) has 430 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 245 voted, 230 valid votes

  1. Vivre à Tarabel, c'est décider ensembleNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 230 · 15 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Tarabel

Tarabel is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 430 registered voters, the 241st largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 57% of them voted, close to the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and Vivre à Tarabel, c'est décider ensemble won 15 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted France Unbowed 25.2%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.1%, National Rally 23.5%. Greens did 4 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 37.4%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 19.7%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Tarabel from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 37.4% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 19.7% · France 16.8%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 13.3% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.9% · France 14.3%
  5. Marine TondelierGreens 6.4% · France 2.9%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.5% · France 7.6%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.9% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.8% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 25.2% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.1% · National Rally 23.5% · Greens 8.7% · Others 6.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne

Every commune in Haute-Garonne → · All of France →