France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com France
EN FR
Closest
France · Every commune · Haute-Garonne

Lherm: AGIR ENSEMBLE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Lherm (Haute-Garonne, INSEE 31299) has 3,034 registered voters. Its council has 27 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 1,470 voted, 1,298 valid votes

  1. AGIR ENSEMBLEMiscellaneous left 100.0% · 1,298 · 27 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Lherm

Lherm is a commune in Haute-Garonne with 3,034 registered voters, the 59th largest of the département's 586 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 48.5% of them voted, fewer than the 58.7% across Haute-Garonne, and AGIR ENSEMBLE won 27 of the council's 27 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 29%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.2%, France Unbowed 20.9%. National Rally did 6 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 41.8%, with Raphaël Glucksmann on 16.6%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Lherm from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 41.8% · France 34.2%
  2. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 16.6% · France 13.4%
  3. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.0% · France 16.8%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 11.1% · France 14.3%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 4.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 3.2% · France 2.9%
  7. Éric ZemmourReconquête 2.8% · France 3.8%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.2% · France 2.1%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.9% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 29.0% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 22.2% · France Unbowed 20.9% · Others 6.2% · Reconquête 5.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Haute-Garonne

Every commune in Haute-Garonne → · All of France →